China’s “new normal”: analysis and implications for Brazil and brazilian states
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5007/2177-5230.2025.e100944Keywords:
Economic growth, Exports, China, Brazilian statesAbstract
This article investigates the impacts of China's expansion in world trade on Brazil, at state level, as well as the prospects after China's post-2013 slowdown. In particular, it examines whether states with exports that are more concentrated in raw materials, and therefore more complementary to the Chinese economy, benefit most from China's rise. To this end, state exports were classified according to their technological content, and the export profile of the states was evaluated, calculating export competition indices in relation to China. The results suggest that states with exports more similar to the Chinese ones – with greater technological content – performed better in the period 2002-2018.
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