Earnings persistence in Brazilian football clubs

Authors

Keywords:

Brazilian Football Clubs, Earnings Persistence, Earnings Predictability, Earnings Quality

Abstract

This paper examines the earnings quality of Brazilian football clubs, focusing on earnings persistence, its relationship with club size, and the persistence of accruals and cash flow. Based on the 2020 ranking by the Brazilian Football Confederation, the sample comprises 23 teams that disclosed financial statements from 2011 to 2021. Results indicate that smaller clubs demonstrate higher earnings persistence and predictability compared to larger counterparts. Specifically, the cash flow component of earnings exhibits stronger persistence in predicting future earnings than accruals among smaller clubs. Furthermore, findings suggest enhanced earnings predictability and persistence following the implementation of regulations such as PROFUT, which restricts expenses and debts. This study underscores earnings persistence as a critical indicator of earnings quality, particularly significant in the current regulatory landscape where Brazilian clubs can opt for incorporation under the Soccer Limited Company Law (2021).

Author Biographies

Fábio Minatto, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina

Doutor em Contabilidade pela Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC), Florianópolis/SC, Brasil

Sara Meurer, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina

Doutoranda em Contabilidade pela Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (UFSC), Florianópolis/SC, Brasil

Marcelo Botelho da Costa Moraes, University of São Paulo

Doutor em Ciências na área de Economia, Organizações e Gestão do Conhecimento pela Universidade de São Paulo (USP)

Professor do Departamento de Contabilidade da Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto – FEA/RP (USP), Ribeirão Preto/SP, Brasil

References

Alaminos, D., & Fernández, M. Á. (2019). Why do football clubs fail financially? A financial distress prediction model for European professional football industry. PLOS ONE, 14(12), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0225989

Arruda, M. P., Vieira, C. A. M., Paulo, E., & Lucena, W. G. L. (2015). Análise do Conservadorismo e Persistência dos Resultados Contábeis das Instituições Financeiras Brasileiras. Sociedade, Contabilidade e Gestão, 10(2), 23–35. https://doi.org/10.21446/scg_ufrj.v10i2.13348

Barros, P. S. (2006). Portuguese football. Journal of Sports Economics, 7(1), 96–104. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002505282870

Beisland, L. A., & Mersland, R. (2014). Earnings Quality in Nonprofit Versus For-Profit Organizations: Evidence From the Microfinance Industry. Nonprofit and Voluntary Sector Quarterly, 43(4), 652–671. https://doi.org/10.1177/0899764013478491

Braga Junior, R. A., & Holanda, A. P. (2021). Suavização de resultados: estudo em clubes de futebol brasileiros. RAGC - Revista de Auditoria, Governança e Contabilidade, 9(42), 1–23. https://www.revistas.fucamp.edu.br/index.php/ragc/article/view/2650

Buchholz, F., & Lopatta, K. (2017). Stakeholder salience of economic investors on professional football clubs in Europe. European Sport Management Quarterly, 17(4), 506–530. https://doi.org/10.1080/16184742.2017.1306870

Carroll, D. A., & Stater, K. J. (2009). Revenue Diversification in Nonprofit Organizations: Does it Lead to Financial Stability? Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 19(4), 947–966. https://doi.org/10.1093/jopart/mun025

Croissant, Y., & Millo, G. (2008). Panel Data Econometrics in R: The plm Package. Journal of Statistical Software, 27(2). https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v027.i02

Dantas, M., Freitas Neto, R., Da Costa, M., & Barbosa, A. (2017). The Determinants of Brazilian Football Clubs’ Debt Ratios. Brazilian Business Review, 1, 94–109. https://doi.org/10.15728/edicaoesp.2017.5

Dantas, M., Machado, M., & Macedo, M. (2015). Fatores Determinantes da Eficiência dos Clubes de Futebol do Brasil. Advances in Scientific and Applied Accounting, 8(1), 113–132. https://doi.org/10.14392/asaa.2015080106

Dechow, P., Ge, W., & Schrand, C. (2010). Understanding earnings quality: A review of the proxies, their determinants and their consequences. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 50(2–3), 344–401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2010.09.001

Dechow, P., & Schrand, C. (2004). Earnings quality. The Research Foundation of CFA Institute. http://csinvesting.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/Defining-Earnings-Quality-CFA-Publication.pdf

Dichev, I. D., Graham, J. R., Harvey, C. R., & Rajgopal, S. (2013). Earnings quality: Evidence from the field. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 56(2–3), 1–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2013.05.004

Dimitropoulos, P. (2010). The Financial Performance of the Greek Football Clubs. Sport Management International Journal, 6(1), 5–28. http:dx.doi.org/10.4127/ch.2010.0042

Dimitropoulos, P. (2011). Corporate Governance and Earnings Management in the European Football Industry. European Sport Management Quarterly, 11(5), 495–523. https://doi.org/10.1080/16184742.2011.624108

Dimitropoulos, P., & Koronios, K. (2018). Earnings Persistence of European Football Clubs under UEFA’s FFP. International Journal of Financial Studies, 6(2), 43. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs6020043

Dimitropoulos, P., Leventis, S., & Dedoulis, E. (2016). Managing the European football industry: UEFA’s regulatory intervention and the impact on accounting quality. European Sport Management Quarterly, 16(4), 459–486. https://doi.org/10.1080/16184742.2016.1164213

Financial Accounting Standards Board. (2008). Statement of Financial Accounting Concepts No. 2: Qualitative Characteristics of Accounting Information.

Fox, J., & Weisberg, S. (2019). An R Companion to Applied Regression. Sage Publications. https://socialsciences.mcmaster.ca/jfox/Books/Companion/

Garcia-del-Barrio, P., & Szymanski, S. (2009). Goal! Profit Maximization Versus Win Maximization in Soccer. Review of Industrial Organization, 34(1), 45–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-009-9203-6

Gomes, R. M., Gomes, R. C., & Lisboa, E. (2022). From amateurism to professionalism: legislation changes transforming Brazilian football. Accounting, Auditing & Accountability Journal. https://doi.org/10.1108/AAAJ-06-2022-5834

Guevara, J. C., Martín, E., & Arcas, M. J. (2021). Financial sustainability and earnings management in the spanish sports federations: A multi-theoretical approach. Sustainability (Switzerland), 13(4), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13042099

Healy, P. M. (1985). The effect of bonus schemes on accounting decisions. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 7(1–3), 85–107.

Hofmann, M. A., & McSwain, D. (2013). Financial disclosure management in the nonprofit sector: A framework for past and future research. Journal of Accounting Literature, 32(1), 61–87. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.acclit.2013.10.003

Huth, C. (2020). Who invests in financial instruments of sport clubs? An empirical analysis of actual and potential individual investors of professional European football clubs. European Sport Management Quarterly, 20(4), 500–519. https://doi.org/10.1080/16184742.2019.1684539

Kajimoto, C. G. K., Nakao, S. H., & Moraes, M. B. da C. (2019). A suavização do lucro líquido e a persistência das contas de resultado nas empresas brasileiras de capital aberto. Revista de Contabilidade e Organizações, 13(e154173), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.11606/issn.1982-6486.rco.2019.154173

Kang, T., Krishnan, G. V., Wolfe, M. C., & Yi, H. S. (2012). The Impact of Eliminating the 20-F Reconciliation Requirement for IFRS Filers on Earnings Persistence and Information Uncertainty. Accounting Horizons, 26(4), 741–765. https://doi.org/10.2308/acch-50250

Kormendi, R., & Lipe, R. (1987). Earnings Innovations, Earnings Persistence, and Stock Returns. The Journal of Business, 60(3), 323–345.

Leal, L., Girão, L., Lucena, W., & Martins, V. (2017). Persistence, Value Relevance, and Accruals Quality in Extreme Earnings and Cash Flow Situations. Revista de Administração Mackenzie, 18(3), 203–231. https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-69712017/administracao.v18n3p203-231

Li, V. (2019). The effect of real earnings management on the persistence and informativeness of earnings. The British Accounting Review, 51(4), 402–423. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bar.2019.02.005

Marotz, D. P., Marquezan, L. H. F., & Diehl, C. A. (2020). Clubes de futebol: relações entre investimento, desempenho e adesão ao PROFUT. Revista Contemporânea de Contabilidade, 17(43), 3–18. https://doi.org/10.5007/2175-8069.2020v17n43p3

Menary, S. (2016). One rule for one: the impact of Champions League prize money and Financial Fair Play at the bottom of the European club game. Soccer & Society, 17(5), 666–679. https://doi.org/10.1080/14660970.2015.1103073

Miller, M. H., & Rock, K. (1985). Dividend Policy under Asymmetric Information. The Journal of Finance, 40(4), 1031–1051. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb02362.x

Minatto, F., & Borba, J. (2021). Insolvency in Brazilian Football Clubs: Proposition of Models based on Neural Networks. Brazilian Business Review, 18(6), 624–642. https://doi.org/10.15728/bbr.2021.18.6.2

Nakamura, W. T., & Cerqueira, S. de A. (2021). A Nova Era do Futebol Brasileiro e Clubes Geridos como Negócio. Journal of Contemporary Administration, 25(4), 1–5. https://doi.org/10.1590/1982-7849rac2021210055.en

Nascimento, J. C. H. B., Da Silva, A. M. D., De Souza, W. D., & Bernardes, J. R. (2015). Conservadorismo Condicional: Um Estudo Com Clubes De Futebol Brasileiros No Período De 2007 a 2012. Revista de Informação Contábil, 9(1), 14–29. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.34629/ric.v9i1.14-29

Neri, L., Russo, A., Di Domizio, M., & Rossi, G. (2021). Football players and asset manipulation: the management of football transfers in Italian Serie A. European Sport Management Quarterly, 1–21. https://doi.org/10.1080/16184742.2021.1939397

Nguyen, T., & Soobaroyen, T. (2019). Earnings Management by Non‐profit Organisations: Evidence from UK Charities. Australian Accounting Review, 29(1), 124–142. https://doi.org/10.1111/auar.12242

Oliveira, M. C., & Borba, J. A. (2021). Liabilities and contingencies of Brazilian football clubs. Contextus – Revista Contemporânea de Economia e Gestão, 19, 330–344. https://doi.org/10.19094/contextus.2021.71172

Panagiotis, D. E. (2011). Profitability of the Greek Football Clubs: Implications for Financial Decisions Making. In: R. Simons (Ed.), Operations Management (pp. 169–182). Apple Academic Press.

Paulo, E., Cavalcante, P. R. N., & Melo, I. I. S. L. (2012). Accounting information quality in public stock and bond offerings by brazilian public companies. Brazilian Business Review, 9(1), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.15728/bbr.2012.9.1.1

Profut Law, Pub. L. No. 13.155 (2015). http://www.planalto.gov.br/ccivil_03/_ato2015-2018/2015/lei/l13155.htm#

Revelle, W. R. (2017). psych: Procedures for Personality and Psychological Research. https://www.scholars.northwestern.edu/en/publications/psych-procedures-for-personality-and-psychological-research

Rezende, A. J., Dalmácio, F. Z., & Salgado, A. L. (2010). Nível de disclosure das atividades operacionais, econômicas e financeiras dos clubes brasileiros. Contabilidade Gestão e Governança, 13(2), 36–50.

Richardson, S. A., Sloan, R. G., Soliman, M. T., & Tuna, I. (2006). The Implications of Accounting Distortions and Growth for Accruals and Profitability. The Accounting Review, 81(3), 713–743. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr.2006.81.3.713

Richardson, S. A., Sloan, R. G., Soliman, M. T., & Tuna, İ. (2005). Accrual reliability, earnings persistence and stock prices. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 39(3), 437–485. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2005.04.005

Rocha, E., Oliveira, F., & Valdevino, R. (2021). PROFUT: an analysis of the capital structure of Brazilian soccer teams. Ambiente Contábil, 13(2). https://doi.org/10.21680/2176-9036.2021v13n2ID25721

Santiago, J., Cavalcante, P., & Paulo, E. (2015). The analysis of persistence and conservatism on the process of international convergence in public companies of the construction sector in Brazil. Revista Universo Contábil, 11(2), 174–195. https://doi.org/10.4270/ruc.2015217

Scelles, N., Szymanski, S., & Dermit-Richard, N. (2018). Insolvency in French Soccer: The Case of Payment Failure. Journal of Sports Economics, 19(5), 603–624. https://doi.org/10.1177/1527002516674510

Schubert, M. (2014). Potential agency problems in European club football? The case of UEFA Financial Fair Play. Sport, Business and Management: An International Journal, 4(4), 336–350. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1108/SBM-02-2014-0006

Sloan, R. G. (1996). Do stock prices fully reflect information in accruals and cash flows about future earnings? Accounting Review, 71(3), 289–315. https://doi.org/10.2469/dig.v27.n1.5

Sloane, P. J. (1971). The economics of professional football: the football club as a utility maximiser. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 18(2), 121–146. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9485.1971.tb00979.x

Soccer Limited Company Law, Pub. L. No. 14.193 (2021). http://www.planalto.gov.br/ccivil_03/_Ato2019-2022/2021/Lei/L14193.htm

Srivastava, A. (2019). Improving the measures of real earnings management. Review of Accounting Studies, 24(4), 1277–1316. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-019-09505-z

Szymanski, S., & Smith, R. (1997). The English football industry: Profit, performance and industrial structure. International Review of Applied Economics, 11(1), 135–153. https://doi.org/10.1080/02692179700000008

Szymanski, S., & Weimar, D. (2019). Insolvencies in professional football: A German Sonderweg? International Journal of Sport Finance, 14(1), 54–68. https://doi.org/10.32731/IJSF.141.022019.05

Trussel, J. M. (2002). Revisiting the Prediction of Financial Vulnerability. Nonprofit Management and Leadership, 13(1), 17–31. https://doi.org/10.1002/nml.13103

Umbelino, W. L., Ponte, V. M. R., Silva, R. B., & Lima, M. C. (2019). Disclosure em Clubes de Futebol: Estudo sobre os Reflexos da Lei do PROFUT. Revista Evidenciação Contábil & Finanças, 7(1), 112. https://doi.org/10.22478/ufpb.2318-1001.2019v7n1.38074

Wang, Z. (2014). Measuring investors’ assessment of earnings persistence: do investors see through smoothed earnings? Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 42(4), 691–708. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-013-0358-8

Wen, Y. C., Huang, P., Shen, H. C., & Zhang, Y. (2019). The role of organizational forms in nonprofit firms’ real earnings management: Evidence from nonprofit hospitals in Taiwan. Advances in Accounting, 46, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adiac.2019.04.003

Zeileis, A., & Hothorn, T. (2002). Diagnostic Checking in Regression Relationships. https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/lmtest/vignettes/lmtest-intro.pdf

Downloads

Published

2024-11-01

How to Cite

Minatto, F., Meurer, S., & Moraes, M. B. da C. (2024). Earnings persistence in Brazilian football clubs. Revista Contemporânea De Contabilidade, 21(55). Retrieved from https://periodicos.ufsc.br/index.php/contabilidade/article/view/94085

Issue

Section

Articles