A Influência da Internacionalização na Classificação de Crédito: uma Análise de Empresas Brasileiras

Autores

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5007/2175-8077.2023.e70312

Palavras-chave:

Classificação de crédito, risco, internacionalização, modelo de escolhas ordenadas

Resumo

 

O objetivo do presente estudo foi analisar a relação entre internacionalização e classificação de crédito de empresas brasileiras. Os dados foram obtidos junto a uma instituição bancária que avalia periodicamente seus clientes de acordo com o risco. Um modelo probit ordenado foi construído. O modelo construído utilizou a classificação de risco como variável dependente e variáveis financeiras como preditoras. A variável de interesse, internacionalização, medida pelas exportações e importações, foi estatisticamente significativa, indicando que as empresas com atividades internacionais têm maior probabilidade de apresentar uma melhor classificação de risco, ou seja, representam menos riscos às instituições bancárias em relação à obtenção de crédito bancário.

 

Biografia do Autor

Rodolfo Coelho Prates, Univille

Professor Programa de Pós Graduação em Saúde e Meio Ambiente

Marcos Wagner da Fonseca, Universidade Federal do Paraná - UFPR

Professor do Programa de Pós Graduação em Contabilidade na Universidade Federal do Paraná - UFPR.

Referências

ABIYEV, R. H. Credit Rating Using Type-2 Fuzzy Neural Networks. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, p. 8- 16, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/460916

AKERLOF, G. A. The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 84, n.3, p. 488-500, 1970. https://doi.org/10.2307/1879431

AL-SAKKA, R.; GWILYM, O. A random effects ordered probit model for rating migrations. Finance Research Letters, v. 7, n. 3, p. 140–147, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2010.02.004

ALVES, M. T.; MATIAS, F. J. F. Gestão e divulgação do risco operacional e os acordos de Basileia: o caso dos maiores bancos portugueses. Revista Universo Contábil, n. 10, v.3, p. 172-193, 2014.

AN, H.; CHAN, K. C. Credit ratings and IPO pricing. Journal of Corporate Finance, n. 14, v.5, p. 584-595, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2008.09.010

ARSLAN-AYAYDIN, O.; KARAN, M. B. Credit risks and internationalization of SMEs. Journal of Business Economics and Management, n, 10, v. 4, p. 361-368, 2009. https://doi.org/10.3846/1611-1699.2009.10.361-368

BAKHTIARI, S. Corporate credit ratings: Selection on size or productivity? International Review of Economics and Finance, v. 49, p. 84-101, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2017.01.023

BALIOS, D.; THOMADAKIS, S.; TSIPOURI, L. Credit rating model development: an ordered analysis based accounting data. Research in International Business and Finance. v. 38, p. 122-136, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.03.011

BANCO CENTRAL DO BRASIL (BCB). Recomendações de Basileia. 2017. Disponível em: https://www.bcb.gov.br/fis/supervisao/basileia.asp. Acesso em: 25 out. 2018.

BELLOTTI, T.; MATOUSEK, R.; STEWART, C. Are rating agencies’ assignments opaque? Evidence from international banks. Expert Systems with Applications. v. 38, n. 4, p. 4206–4214, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2010.09.085

BRITO, G.; ASSAF NETO, A. Modelo de classificação de risco de crédito de empresas. Revista Contabilidade & Finanças, n. 19, v. 46, p. 18-29, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1590/S1519-70772008000100003

BUCH, C. M.; KOCH, C. T.; KOETTER, M. Should I stay or Should I go? Bank productivity and internationalization decisions. Journal of Banking & Finance. n. 42, p. 266-282, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.02.003

BUCKLEY, P. J.; CASSON, M. The Future of the Multinational Enterprise. London: Homes & Meier, 1976. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-02899-3

BUCKLEY, P.; CASSON, M. C. Models of the Multinational Enterprise. Journal of International Business Studies, n. 29, v. 1, p. 21-44, 1988. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490023

BUCKLEY, P.; CASSON, M. Analyzing foreign market entry strategies: extending the internalization approach. Journal of International Business Studies, n. 29, v. 3, p. 539-561, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490006

BUCKLEY, P.; CHEN, L.; CLEGG. L. J.; VOSS, H. Risk propensity in the foreign direct investment location decision of emerging multinationals. Journal of International Business Studies, v. 49, p. 153–171, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41267-017-0126-4

CHEN, Chongyang; KIESCHNICK, Robert L. Bank Credit and Corporate Working Capital Management. Journal of Corporate Finance, n. 48, p. 579-596, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2017.12.013

CHETTY, S.; CAMPBELL-HUNT, C. A strategic approach to internationalization: A traditional versus a 'born-global' approach. Journal of International Marketing, v. 12, p. 57-81, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1509/jimk.12.1.57.25651

CHOU, T. K.; CHENG, J. C. Credit ratings and excess value of diversification. Journal of Empirical Finance, v. 19, 266-281, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2011.12.003

COSTA, P. H. O Novo Acordo de Basiléia e seus Impactos no Papel que as Instituições Financeiras Desempenham nos Ciclos Econômicos. Economia Política Internacional: Análise Estratégica, v. 7, p. 56 - 62, 2007.

DAMASCENO, D. L.; ARTES, R.; MINARDI, A. M. A. F. Determinação de rating de crédito de empresas brasileiras com a utilização de índices contábeis. Revista de Administração da USP, n. 43, v. 4, p. 344-355, 2008.

DRISS, H.; MASSOUD, N.; ROBERTS, G. S. Are credit rating agencies still relevant? Evidence on certification from Moody's credit watches. Journal of Corporate Finance, n. 39, p. 1-23, 2016.

DUNNING, J. H. Trade, location of economic activity and the MNE: A search for an eclectic approach. In B. Ohlin, P. O. Hesselborn, & P. M. Wijkman (Orgs.). The international allocation of economic activity (pp. 395–418). London: Macmillan, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-03196-2_38

DUNNING, J. H. The Eclectic Paradigm as an Envelope for Economic and Business Theories of MNE Activity, International Business Review, v. 9, p. 163-190, 2000. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0969-5931(99)00035-9

DURAND, D. Risk Elements in Consumer Installment Financing, 1941. Disponível em: http://www.nber.org/chapters c9265.pdf. Acesso em: 30 set. 2019.

FUDALIŃSKI, J. Risk Taking Propensity and Firm Internationalization Process. Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, n. 3, v. 2, p. 85-104, 2015. https://doi.org/10.15678/EBER.2015.030207

GARCÍA, J. C. T.; GARCÍA, M. A. M.; MARTÍNEZ, F. V. Credit risk management at retail in Mexico: An econometric improvement in the selection of variables and changes in their characteristics. Contaduría y Administración, n. 62, p. 399–418, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cya.2017.02.006

GONENC, H.; ARSLAN, Ö. Capital Structure of the Turkish Domestic and International Real Sector Firms. Istanbul Stock Exchange Review, n.7, v. 25, p. 41-64, 2003.

GREENE, W. H. Econometrics Analysis. New Jersey: Prentice Hall, 2003.

HUANG, Y-L.; SHEN, C-H. Cross-country variations in capital structure adjustment—The role of credit ratings. International Review of Economics and Finance, v. 39, p. 277-294, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2015.04.011

JOHANSON, J.; VAHLNE, J-E. The internationalization process of the firm: a model of knowledge development and increasing foreign commitments. Journal of International Business Studies, n. 8, v. 1, p. 23-32, 1977. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8490676

JOHANSON, J.; VAHLNE, J-E. Commitment and opportunity development in the internationalization process: A note on the Uppsala internationalization process model. Management International Review, n. 46, v. 2, p. 165-178, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11575-006-0043-4

JOHANSON, J.; VAHLNE, J-E. The Uppsala internationalization model revisited – From liability of foreignness to liability of outsidership. Journal of International Business Studies, n. 40, v. 4, p. 1411-1431, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2009.24

KARAMPATSAS, N.; PETMEZAS, D.; TRAVLOS, N. G. Credit ratings and the choice of payment method in mergers and acquisitions. Journal of Corporate Finance, n. 25, p. 474-493, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2014.01.008

KISER, E.; PRAGER, R.; SCOTT, J. Supervisor ratings and the contraction of bank lending to small businesses. Journal of Financial Services Research, n. 50, v. 2, p. 163-186, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10693-015-0226-x

KNIGHT, G.; CAVUSGIL, S. T. Innovation, Organizational Capabilities. the Born-global Firm. Journal of International Business Studies, v. 35, n. 2, p. 124-141, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8400071

KUBÍCKOVÁ, L.; TOULOVÁ, M. Risk factors in the internationalization process of SMEs. Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, n. LXI, v. 7, p. 2385–2392, 2013. https://doi.org/10.11118/actaun201361072385

LI, H.; LIN, Y.; LIANG, C. Internationalization and credit risk: Evidence from Chinese listed firms. Emerging Markets Review, n. 44, p. 1-16, 2020.

LIVINGSTON, M.; POON, W. P. H.; ZHOU, L. Are Chinese credit ratings relevant? A study of the Chinese bond market and credit rating industry. Journal of Banking and Finance, n. 87, p. 216-232, 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2017.09.020

MAIA, P. M. C. O impacto de Basileia III sobre a economia. Faculdade de Economia da Universidade do Porto. 2010. Disponível em: http://www.ordemeconomistas.pt/xportalv3/file/XEOCM. Acesso em: 30 out. 2018.

MALLICK, D. Marginal and interaction effects in ordered response models. MPRA Paper No. 9617, University of Munich. 2009. Disponível em: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/13325/1/MPRA_paper_13325.pdf. Acesso em: 25 out. 2018.

PAUL, J.; ROSADO-SERRANO, Alexander. Gradual internationalization vs born-global/international new venture models: A review and research agenda. International Marketing Review, v. 36, n. 6, p. 830-858, 2019. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMR-10-2018-0280

RAMOS, A.; SIMÕES, M. Credit Rating Agencies, Finance and Growth, ch. 10, p. 192–207 in TEIXEIRA, Paulino; DUARTE, António Portugal; REDZEPAGIC, Srdjan; ERIC, Dejan. European Integration Process in Western Balkan Countries. Institute of Economic Sciences. V. 1. 2012.

RASK, M.; STRANDSKOV, J.; HÅKONSSON, D. D. Theoretical Perspectives on the Internationalization of Firms, Journal of Teaching in International Business, n. 19, v. 4, p. 320-345, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1080/08975930802427502

REBOLLEDO, R.; CARO, N.; ALARCÓN, A. Internationalization and credit risk of firms in emerging markets. Journal of Business Research, n. 104, p. 132-142, 2019.

REID, S. D. Firm internationalization, transaction costs, and strategic behaviour. International Marketing Review, n 1, v. 2, p. 45–56, 1983. https://doi.org/10.1108/eb008251

ROMMER, A. D. Testing the Assumptions of Credit-scoring Models. Accounting-based Credit-scoring models: Econometric Investigations. 2005. Disponível em: https://www.nationalbanken.dk/da/publikationer/Documents/2005/06/phd_samlet.pdf. Acesso em: 16 set. 2019.

SAMII, M.; ALIOUCHE, E. H.; WRIGHT, R. Mitigating risks in internationalization decisions: the choice of the optimal entry mode. 2008. Disponível em: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/e8ec/e5dd0afee5c4c0486a0460bbeea2ed15ac66.pdf. Acesso em: 10 nov. 2019.

SHEN, C-H.; HUANG, Y-L.; HASAN, I. Asymmetric benchmarking in banc credit rating. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, n. 22, p. 171-193, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2011.08.004

S&P. Guide to credit rating essentials: What are credit ratings and how do they work? Standards and Poor’s. 2014. Disponível em: https://www.spratings.com/documents/20184/760102/SPRS_Understanding-Ratings_GRE.pdf/298e606f-ce5b-4ece-9076-66810cd9b6aa. Acesso em: 12 nov. 2019.

TAO, Q.; XU, X.; LIU, Y. The effect of internationalization on credit risk: The moderating role of firm and industry characteristics. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101804, 2021.

TUZOVÁ, M.; TOULOVÁ, M.; STRAKA, J.; KUBÍCKOVÁ, L. Can Uppsala Model Explain the Internationalisation of Central European SMEs? European Journal of Business Science and Technology, n. 1, v. 2, p. 149–164, 2015. https://doi.org/10.11118/ejobsat.v1i2.14

VERNON, R. International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, n. 80, v. 2, p. 190-207, 1966. https://doi.org/10.2307/1880689

WELCH, C.; WELCH, L. S. Broadening the concept of international entrepreneurship: internationalization, networks and politics. Journal of International Entrepreneurship, n. 2, v. 3, p. 217-237, 2004. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:JIEN.0000032774.01082.41

Downloads

Publicado

05-05-2023

Como Citar

Prates, R. C., & Fonseca, M. W. da. (2023). A Influência da Internacionalização na Classificação de Crédito: uma Análise de Empresas Brasileiras. Revista De Ciências Da Administração, 25(65), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.5007/2175-8077.2023.e70312

Artigos Semelhantes

<< < 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 > >> 

Você também pode iniciar uma pesquisa avançada por similaridade para este artigo.